Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Privateers @ Colonels UNO @ NICH

NEW ORLEANS

PRIVATEERSUNO

7-13  |  Road

80
FINAL
Tue, Jan 27 • 4:30 PM ET
David R. Stopher Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

NICHOLLS

COLONELSNICH

8-12  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
100%
📊
COLONELS
0%
PRIVATEERS --
COLONELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
NICHOLLS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Nicholls)
PrivateersUNO (-3.5) 0 ColonelsNICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Privateers Cover

0.3%

Colonels Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NICH -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NICH)

UNO By 1-7 points

0.2%

UNO By 8-14 points

0.0%

NICH By 1-7 points

1.7%

NICH By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
42
NEW ORLEANS
70
NICHOLLS
Simulated Score
72
NEW ORLEANS
78
NICHOLLS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Colonels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Colonels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Colonels (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Colonels (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 27, 2026 UNO @ NICH 80 - 62
Jan 10, 2026 NICH @ UNO 90 - 77
Feb 17, 2025 NICH @ UNO 78 - 62
Dec 7, 2024 UNO @ NICH 70 - 73
Feb 19, 2024 NICH @ UNO 89 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +103.8% more
Nicholls: 9.5 vs New Orleans: 4.7
Turnovers (L5) +22.7% more
New Orleans: 16.5 vs Nicholls: 12.8
Rebounding (L5) +14.5% more
New Orleans: 35.4 vs Nicholls: 30.3
Blocks (L5) +13.2% more
New Orleans: 3.3 vs Nicholls: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNO Score 42.0 80
NICH Score 70.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.8 / 29.7 30.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.5 / 11.9 12.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.3 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 38.6 / 47.8 36.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 72.3 / 72.1 53.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 30.3 / 35.4 28.0 / 48.0
Steals 9.5 / 4.7 12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 16.5 14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
NICH
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
NICH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +2.0
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NICH
UNO
NICH
UNO
ML
53% 17-15
52% 16-15
68% 19-9
57% 17-13
ATS
47% 15-17
52% 16-15
68% 19-9
57% 17-13
TTL
56% 18-14
58% 18-13
100% 28-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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