Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Lions MCN @ SELA

MCNEESE

COWBOYSMCN

16-4  |  Road

76
FINAL
Tue, Jan 27 • 7:00 PM ET
University Center
View Odds Details →

SE LOUISIANA

LIONSSELA

6-14  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
📊
LIONS
100%
COWBOYS --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
MCNEESE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (McNeese)
CowboysMCN (-3.5) 0 LionsSELA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

97.7%

Lions Cover

2.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MCN -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MCN)

MCN By 1-7 points

8.0%

MCN By 8-14 points

18.6%

SELA By 1-7 points

1.7%

SELA By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
76
MCNEESE
56
SE LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
75
MCNEESE
67
SE LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Cowboys (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u139.5 Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 27, 2026 MCN @ SELA 76 - 66
Jan 10, 2026 SELA @ MCN 61 - 73
Feb 17, 2025 MCN @ SELA 88 - 82
Dec 30, 2024 SELA @ MCN 51 - 79
Feb 3, 2024 MCN @ SELA 74 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +52.7% more
McNeese: 11.1 vs SE Louisiana: 5.3
Blocks (L5) +24.2% more
McNeese: 4.2 vs SE Louisiana: 3.2
Assists (L5) +16.5% more
McNeese: 13.4 vs SE Louisiana: 11.2
Free Throw % (L5) +9.0%
McNeese: 78.6% vs SE Louisiana: 69.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MCN Score 76.0 76
SELA Score 56.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.8 / 27.0 36.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.2 / 13.4 6.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.2 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 39.6 / 44.6 38.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 69.6 / 78.6 78.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 36.6 / 38.0 29.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.3 / 11.1 7.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 9.7 18.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MCN Advantage
28-6-0 (82.4%)
Margin: 12.9 ATS +/-: -0.2
SELA
9-22-0 (29.0%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MCN
14-16-1 (46.7%)
Margin: 12.9 ATS +/-: -0.2
SELA
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.6
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SELA
MCN
SELA
MCN
ML
70% 21-9
67% 22-11
66% 19-10
88% 28-4
ATS
60% 18-12
76% 25-8
67% 20-10
88% 28-4
TTL
70% 21-9
42% 14-19
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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