CREIGHTON
BLUEJAYSCREI
12-8 | Road
62
MARQUETTE
GOLDEN EAGLESMARQ
7-14 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
BLUEJAYS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
BLUEJAYS
--
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Creighton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CREI -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)
CREI By 1-7 points
6.8%
CREI By 8-14 points
16.9%
MARQ By 1-7 points
1.4%
MARQ By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Creighton
75
CREIGHTON
Marquette
54
MARQUETTE
Simulated Score
Creighton
77
CREIGHTON
Marquette
81
MARQUETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bluejays
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bluejays (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Golden Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
CREI @ MARQ
62 - 86
Dec 20, 2025
MARQ @ CREI
63 - 84
Feb 8, 2025
MARQ @ CREI
67 - 77
Jan 3, 2025
CREI @ MARQ
71 - 79
Mar 2, 2024
MARQ @ CREI
75 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.8%
Creighton: 77.1%
vs
Marquette: 60.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.1%
Creighton: 41.3%
vs
Marquette: 29.1%
Steals (L5)
+90.9% more
Marquette: 9.8
vs
Creighton: 5.1
Blocks (L5)
+58.6% more
Marquette: 3.4
vs
Creighton: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CREI Score
75.0
62
MARQ Score
54.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.1 / 41.3
38.0 / 21.0
Assists
16.9 / 14.9
18.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.2
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 48.5
58.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
60.3 / 77.1
53.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 31.6
34.0 / 34.0
Steals
9.8 / 5.1
11.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 9.0
6.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CREI
Advantage
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
MARQ
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CREI
11-22-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
MARQ
Advantage
12-19-1
(38.7%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
MARQ
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MARQ
CREI
MARQ
CREI
ML
59%
19-13
52%
17-16
62%
20-12
70%
21-9
ATS
53%
17-15
58%
19-14
62%
20-12
70%
21-9
TTL
50%
16-16
52%
17-16
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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