SAINT JOSEPH'S
HAWKSJOES
12-8 | Road
85
LOYOLA CHICAGO
RAMBLERSLUC
5-16 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
RAMBLERS
0%
HAWKS
--
RAMBLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Loyola Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LUC -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LUC)
JOES By 1-7 points
0.6%
JOES By 8-14 points
0.1%
LUC By 1-7 points
4.0%
LUC By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Joseph's
72
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Loyola Chicago
96
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Saint Joseph's
68
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Loyola Chicago
75
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ramblers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ramblers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ramblers (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Ramblers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
LUC @ JOES
61 - 75
Jan 27, 2026
JOES @ LUC
85 - 64
Feb 1, 2025
JOES @ LUC
55 - 58
Jan 11, 2025
LUC @ JOES
57 - 93
Feb 14, 2024
JOES @ LUC
59 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+11.1% more
Loyola Chicago: 15.6
vs
Saint Joseph's: 14.0
Steals (L5)
+37.3% more
Saint Joseph's: 6.3
vs
Loyola Chicago: 4.0
Blocks (L5)
+32.4% more
Saint Joseph's: 5.9
vs
Loyola Chicago: 4.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Saint Joseph's: 33.6%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 26.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JOES Score
72.0
85
LUC Score
96.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.6 / 33.6
30.0 / 42.0
Assists
15.6 / 14.0
13.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.0 / 5.9
0.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
40.9 / 43.2
35.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
66.8 / 73.7
73.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 37.1
34.0 / 37.0
Steals
4.0 / 6.3
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 13.1
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JOES
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JOES
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
JOES
LUC
JOES
ML
55%
18-15
51%
18-17
50%
16-16
61%
20-13
ATS
64%
21-12
60%
21-14
50%
16-16
61%
20-13
TTL
76%
25-8
54%
19-16
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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