MASSACHUSETTS
MINUTEMENMASS
13-8 | Road
84
MIAMI (OH)
REDHAWKSM-OH
20-0 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
MINUTEMEN
0%
REDHAWKS
100%
MINUTEMEN
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
MASSACHUSETTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Massachusetts)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MASS -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MASS)
MASS By 1-7 points
1.7%
MASS By 8-14 points
6.8%
M-OH By 1-7 points
0.2%
M-OH By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Massachusetts
92
MASSACHUSETTS
Miami (OH)
64
MIAMI (OH)
Simulated Score
Massachusetts
72
MASSACHUSETTS
Miami (OH)
78
MIAMI (OH)
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Minutemen
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
RedHawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Minutemen (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
RedHawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
MASS @ M-OH
87 - 83
Feb 17, 2026
M-OH @ MASS
86 - 77
Jan 27, 2026
MASS @ M-OH
84 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+31.2% more
Massachusetts: 13.6
vs
Miami (OH): 9.4
Blocks (L5)
+67.2% more
Miami (OH): 4.2
vs
Massachusetts: 2.5
Assists (L5)
+14.6% more
Miami (OH): 17.7
vs
Massachusetts: 15.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.5%
Miami (OH): 55.2%
vs
Massachusetts: 45.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MASS Score
92.0
84
M-OH Score
64.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 36.0
34.0 / 43.0
Assists
17.7 / 15.4
17.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.5
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
55.2 / 45.6
47.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
73.3 / 68.3
74.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
32.9 / 35.5
32.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.9
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 13.6
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MASS
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MASS
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
M-OH
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
M-OH
MASS
M-OH
MASS
ML
45%
15-18
44%
14-18
41%
13-19
68%
21-10
ATS
61%
20-13
47%
15-17
41%
13-19
68%
21-10
TTL
61%
20-13
56%
18-14
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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