WESTERN MICHIGAN
BRONCOSWMU
8-12 | Road
65
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
HUSKIESNIU
6-13 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
BRONCOS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Northern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NIU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NIU)
WMU By 1-7 points
23.0%
WMU By 8-14 points
12.2%
NIU By 1-7 points
26.8%
NIU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Michigan
68
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Northern Illinois
70
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Western Michigan
69
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Northern Illinois
72
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
WMU @ NIU
65 - 85
Mar 1, 2025
WMU @ NIU
74 - 70
Jan 21, 2025
NIU @ WMU
70 - 72
Jan 9, 2024
NIU @ WMU
90 - 95
Feb 11, 2023
WMU @ NIU
53 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+33.1% more
Northern Illinois: 14.6
vs
Western Michigan: 11.0
Steals (L5)
+19.1% more
Northern Illinois: 5.9
vs
Western Michigan: 4.9
Blocks (L5)
+55.6% more
Western Michigan: 2.6
vs
Northern Illinois: 1.2
Assists (L5)
+12.3% more
Western Michigan: 11.2
vs
Northern Illinois: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WMU Score
68.0
65
NIU Score
70.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.8 / 33.3
50.0 / 32.0
Assists
9.8 / 11.2
19.0 / 11.0
Blocks
1.2 / 2.6
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
38.7 / 44.4
50.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
71.3 / 71.8
60.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 36.8
38.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.9 / 4.9
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 11.0
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WMU
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
NIU
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
NIU
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +1.3
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NIU
WMU
NIU
WMU
ML
67%
20-10
60%
18-12
66%
19-10
70%
21-9
ATS
63%
19-11
67%
20-10
66%
19-10
70%
21-9
TTL
67%
20-10
57%
17-13
100%
29-0
100%
30-0
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