AI Model Win Probability
YELLOW JACKETS
0%
HOKIES
100%
YELLOW JACKETS
--
HOKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VT +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)
GT By 1-7 points
24.3%
GT By 8-14 points
26.8%
VT By 1-7 points
12.2%
VT By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia Tech
96
GEORGIA TECH
Virginia Tech
87
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
Georgia Tech
72
GEORGIA TECH
Virginia Tech
75
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yellow Jackets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hokies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hokies (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim
Hokies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
GT @ VT
65 - 71
Jan 22, 2025
VT @ GT
64 - 71
Jan 27, 2024
GT @ VT
67 - 91
Feb 15, 2023
VT @ GT
70 - 77
Feb 23, 2022
VT @ GT
62 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+10.3% more
Georgia Tech: 14.6
vs
Virginia Tech: 13.1
Turnovers (L5)
+10.1% more
Georgia Tech: 12.9
vs
Virginia Tech: 11.6
Rebounding (L5)
+8.6% more
Georgia Tech: 36.2
vs
Virginia Tech: 33.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
Georgia Tech: 41.6%
vs
Virginia Tech: 37.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GT Score
96.0
65
VT Score
87.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 41.6
28.0 / 18.0
Assists
13.1 / 14.6
11.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.2
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 43.4
34.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
71.3 / 67.6
73.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 36.2
36.0 / 38.0
Steals
6.5 / 4.7
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 12.9
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
VT
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
VT
Advantage
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.5
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
GT
VT
GT
ML
53%
17-15
61%
19-12
72%
23-9
63%
19-11
ATS
59%
19-13
55%
17-14
72%
23-9
63%
19-11
TTL
69%
22-10
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0