Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bobcats @ Golden Flashes OHIO @ KENT

OHIO

BOBCATSOHIO

11-10  |  Road

57
FINAL
Tue, Jan 27 • 7:00 PM ET
M.A.C. Center
View Odds Details →

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

15-5  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
100%
📊
GOLDEN FLASHES
0%
BOBCATS --
GOLDEN FLASHES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
188.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
KENT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Kent State)
BobcatsOHIO (-3.5) 0 Golden FlashesKENT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bobcats Cover

15.9%

Golden Flashes Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KENT -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)

OHIO By 1-7 points

10.7%

OHIO By 8-14 points

3.3%

KENT By 1-7 points

23.0%

KENT By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
89
OHIO
99
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
69
OHIO
73
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Flashes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Flashes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Flashes (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Golden Flashes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o162.5 Loss
Proj Total: 188.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 OHIO @ KENT 75 - 86
Jan 27, 2026 OHIO @ KENT 57 - 72
Feb 14, 2025 OHIO @ KENT 75 - 76
Jan 24, 2025 KENT @ OHIO 59 - 61
Feb 20, 2024 KENT @ OHIO 57 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +62.3% more
Kent State: 15.3 vs Ohio: 9.4
Rebounding (L5) +41.7% more
Kent State: 43.4 vs Ohio: 30.6
Turnovers (L5) +25.5% more
Kent State: 14.8 vs Ohio: 11.8
Free Throw % (L5) +3.5%
Kent State: 78.1% vs Ohio: 74.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OHIO Score 89.0 57
KENT Score 99.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 31.2 30.0 / 23.0
Assists 15.3 / 9.4 12.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.4 / 5.6 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 44.3 38.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 78.1 / 74.5 74.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 43.4 / 30.6 51.0 / 31.0
Steals 4.1 / 6.4 5.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 11.8 20.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OHIO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OHIO Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
OHIO
KENT
OHIO
ML
53% 18-16
65% 20-11
65% 22-12
63% 19-11
ATS
65% 22-12
68% 21-10
65% 22-12
63% 19-11
TTL
44% 15-19
61% 19-12
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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