RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
13-8 | Road
69
VCU
RAMSVCU
14-6 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
SPIDERS
100%
RAMS
0%
SPIDERS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (VCU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VCU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)
RICH By 1-7 points
15.3%
RICH By 8-14 points
5.8%
VCU By 1-7 points
26.2%
VCU By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Richmond
59
RICHMOND
VCU
66
VCU
Simulated Score
Richmond
65
RICHMOND
VCU
71
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
VCU @ RICH
78 - 67
Jan 27, 2026
RICH @ VCU
69 - 77
Feb 25, 2025
VCU @ RICH
78 - 60
Feb 1, 2025
RICH @ VCU
49 - 90
Mar 2, 2024
VCU @ RICH
76 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+61.0% more
VCU: 4.0
vs
Richmond: 2.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
VCU: 48.7%
vs
Richmond: 41.8%
Assists (L5)
+10.9% more
Richmond: 13.7
vs
VCU: 12.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.1%
Richmond: 80.1%
vs
VCU: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICH Score
59.0
69
VCU Score
66.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 37.0
38.0 / 33.0
Assists
12.2 / 13.7
11.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.0 / 2.5
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
48.7 / 41.8
43.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 80.1
81.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 32.3
32.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.7
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 10.2
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICH
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
VCU
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
RICH
VCU
RICH
ML
72%
26-10
53%
17-15
67%
22-11
56%
18-14
ATS
81%
29-7
44%
14-18
67%
22-11
56%
18-14
TTL
58%
21-15
56%
18-14
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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