DALLAS
STARSDAL
29-14-9 | Road
4
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
19-24-9 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 3.01 | 0.885 | -- |
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 4.08 | 0.833 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.01 Ldr
GAA
4.08
0.885 Ldr
Save %
0.833
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
BLUES
100%
STARS
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DAL By 1 goal
17.5%
DAL By 2-3 goals
37.2%
STL By 1 goal
6.6%
STL By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
St. Louis
1
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Stars (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 2, 2026
STL @ DAL
4 - 0
Feb 4, 2026
STL @ DAL
4 - 5
Jan 27, 2026
DAL @ STL
4 - 3
Jan 23, 2026
STL @ DAL
2 - 3
Oct 18, 2025
DAL @ STL
1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.3%
Dallas: 55.3%
vs
St. Louis: 47.0%
Hits (L5)
+60.5% more
St. Louis: 22.4
vs
Dallas: 13.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.0
4
STL Score
1.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.1 / 14.0
16.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
47.0 / 55.3
48.1 / 51.9
Hits
22.4 / 13.9
43.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
26.7 / 27.2
0.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
25.4 / 24.9
26.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 5.2
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
DAL
STL
DAL
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1-1
100%
3-0
50%
1-1-1
33%
1-2
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