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VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

25-14-12  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Jan 27 • 7:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
View Odds Details →

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

28-17-7  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Shea Theodore
GOALTENDER

Shea Theodore

#27 | Defense
@
Jakub Dobes
GOALTENDER

Jakub Dobes

#75 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Shea Theodore None-None -- -- --
Jakub Dobes None-None 1.88 0.941 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.88
-- Save % 0.941
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
📊
CANADIENS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
CANADIENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
Golden KnightsVGK (-3.5) 0 CanadiensMTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Knights Cover

30.9%

Canadiens Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)

VGK By 1 goal

12.1%

VGK By 2-3 goals

9.3%

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
VEGAS
3
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
2
VEGAS
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Canadiens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canadiens Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canadiens (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Canadiens (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 27, 2026 VGK @ MTL 2 - 3
Nov 28, 2025 MTL @ VGK 4 - 1
Dec 31, 2024 MTL @ VGK 3 - 2
Nov 23, 2024 VGK @ MTL 6 - 2
Nov 16, 2023 VGK @ MTL 6 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +22.4%
Montreal: 33.7% vs Vegas: 11.3%
Hits (L5) +9.7% more
Montreal: 21.8 vs Vegas: 19.8
Faceoff % (L5) +5.4%
Montreal: 54.2% vs Vegas: 48.7%
Takeaways (L5) +28.5% more
Vegas: 6.6 vs Montreal: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VGK Score 2.0 2
MTL Score 3.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.9 / 14.9 18.0 / 15.0
Faceoff % 54.2 / 48.7 45.0 / 55.0
Hits 21.8 / 19.8 24.0 / 24.0
Power Play % 3369.0 / 1132.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 28.1 / 27.2 26.0 / 34.0
Takeaways 4.8 / 6.6 5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
62%MONEY38%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
96%MONEY4%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
VGK
MTL
VGK
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
75% 3-1
TTL
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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