ARKANSAS
RAZORBACKSARK
15-5 | Road
83
OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
11-9 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
RAZORBACKS
0%
SOONERS
100%
RAZORBACKS
--
SOONERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OU +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)
ARK By 1-7 points
27.2%
ARK By 8-14 points
20.1%
OU By 1-7 points
21.6%
OU By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Arkansas
83
ARKANSAS
Oklahoma
80
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
Arkansas
70
ARKANSAS
Oklahoma
75
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Razorbacks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sooners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sooners (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Sooners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
OU @ ARK
79 - 82
Jan 27, 2026
ARK @ OU
83 - 79
Jan 25, 2025
OU @ ARK
65 - 62
Dec 9, 2023
ARK @ OU
70 - 79
Dec 10, 2022
OU @ ARK
78 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+34.6% more
Arkansas: 18.9
vs
Oklahoma: 12.4
Steals (L5)
+16.0% more
Arkansas: 7.7
vs
Oklahoma: 6.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.6%
Arkansas: 53.0%
vs
Oklahoma: 44.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Arkansas: 39.4%
vs
Oklahoma: 35.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARK Score
83.0
83
OU Score
80.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 39.4
37.0 / 12.0
Assists
12.4 / 18.9
12.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.7
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 53.0
46.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 66.0
92.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 34.6
34.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.5 / 7.7
2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 9.4
12.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARK
Advantage
28-9-0
(75.7%)
Margin: 9.2
ATS +/-: +1.9
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARK
Advantage
23-14-0
(62.2%)
Margin: 9.2
ATS +/-: +1.9
OU
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ARK
22-15-0
O: 59.5% / U: 40.5%
Total +/-: +8.0
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
ARK
OU
ARK
ML
78%
28-8
68%
25-12
59%
20-14
81%
25-6
ATS
72%
26-10
70%
26-11
59%
20-14
81%
25-6
TTL
75%
27-9
57%
21-16
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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