INCARNATE WORD
CARDINALSUIW
9-11 | Road
75
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
HUSKIESHCU
7-13 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
CARDINALS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Houston Christian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HCU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HCU)
UIW By 1-7 points
13.7%
UIW By 8-14 points
4.8%
HCU By 1-7 points
25.3%
HCU By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Incarnate Word
51
INCARNATE WORD
Houston Christian
59
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
Incarnate Word
68
INCARNATE WORD
Houston Christian
72
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
UIW @ HCU
75 - 81
Jan 3, 2026
HCU @ UIW
56 - 73
Feb 1, 2025
HCU @ UIW
64 - 74
Jan 11, 2025
UIW @ HCU
76 - 81
Feb 10, 2024
UIW @ HCU
83 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+63.3% more
Houston Christian: 15.4
vs
Incarnate Word: 9.4
Turnovers (L5)
+21.1% more
Houston Christian: 14.7
vs
Incarnate Word: 12.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.3%
Houston Christian: 40.8%
vs
Incarnate Word: 29.5%
Steals (L5)
+10.9% more
Houston Christian: 5.9
vs
Incarnate Word: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UIW Score
51.0
75
HCU Score
59.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.8 / 29.5
33.0 / 42.0
Assists
15.4 / 9.4
16.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.1
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 40.5
44.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
68.6 / 71.1
78.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
29.9 / 32.1
37.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.9 / 5.3
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 12.1
14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIW
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
HCU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIW
10-18-0
(35.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
HCU
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HCU
UIW
HCU
UIW
ML
68%
21-10
47%
14-16
81%
25-6
76%
22-7
ATS
58%
18-13
53%
16-14
81%
26-6
77%
23-7
TTL
68%
21-10
60%
18-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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