ALCORN STATE
BRAVESALCN
3-15 | Road
73
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
WILDCATSBCU
8-11 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
WILDCATS
0%
BRAVES
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Bethune-Cookman)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BCU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BCU)
ALCN By 1-7 points
1.7%
ALCN By 8-14 points
0.3%
BCU By 1-7 points
8.0%
BCU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Alcorn State
63
ALCORN STATE
Bethune-Cookman
83
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Simulated Score
Alcorn State
68
ALCORN STATE
Bethune-Cookman
72
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (-13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
BCU @ ALCN
55 - 57
Jan 26, 2026
ALCN @ BCU
73 - 82
Mar 13, 2025
ALCN @ BCU
60 - 69
Feb 15, 2025
ALCN @ BCU
78 - 74
Jan 27, 2025
BCU @ ALCN
61 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+175.0% more
Bethune-Cookman: 6.5
vs
Alcorn State: 2.4
Rebounding (L5)
+30.0% more
Bethune-Cookman: 42.4
vs
Alcorn State: 32.6
Assists (L5)
+20.7% more
Bethune-Cookman: 15.6
vs
Alcorn State: 12.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
Bethune-Cookman: 33.5%
vs
Alcorn State: 25.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ALCN Score
63.0
73
BCU Score
83.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 25.8
25.0 / 37.0
Assists
15.6 / 12.9
17.0 / 13.0
Blocks
6.5 / 2.4
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 41.2
55.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 77.0
69.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
42.4 / 32.6
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.6 / 7.5
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 14.0
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ALCN
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
BCU
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ALCN
Advantage
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
BCU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BCU
ALCN
BCU
ALCN
ML
68%
21-10
66%
21-11
79%
22-6
75%
18-6
ATS
65%
20-11
68%
21-10-1
79%
22-6
75%
18-6
TTL
48%
15-16
47%
15-17
100%
28-0
100%
24-0
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