UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
VAQUEROSRGV
9-11 | Road
64
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
ISLANDERSAMCC
11-9 | Home
55
AI Model Win Probability
VAQUEROS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
VAQUEROS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AMCC -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)
RGV By 1-7 points
0.0%
RGV By 8-14 points
0.0%
AMCC By 1-7 points
0.1%
AMCC By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
UT Rio Grande Valley
51
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
89
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Simulated Score
UT Rio Grande Valley
70
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
78
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.5
Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 26, 2026
RGV @ AMCC
64 - 55
Jan 3, 2026
AMCC @ RGV
63 - 59
Feb 1, 2025
AMCC @ RGV
73 - 83
Jan 11, 2025
RGV @ AMCC
74 - 79
Dec 15, 2023
AMCC @ RGV
86 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+33.9% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 3.2
vs
UT Rio Grande Valley: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+20.5% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 14.0
vs
UT Rio Grande Valley: 11.6
Steals (L5)
+13.4% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 8.4
vs
UT Rio Grande Valley: 7.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 39.2%
vs
UT Rio Grande Valley: 37.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RGV Score
51.0
64
AMCC Score
89.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.2 / 37.0
23.0 / 24.0
Assists
9.9 / 19.0
9.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.4
0.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 48.3
28.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
64.1 / 84.6
63.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 30.1
36.0 / 38.0
Steals
8.4 / 7.4
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 11.6
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RGV
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +4.1
AMCC
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RGV
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +4.1
AMCC
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
RGV
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.5
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMCC
RGV
AMCC
RGV
ML
70%
21-9
53%
16-14
67%
18-9
54%
15-13
ATS
67%
20-10
53%
16-14
67%
18-9
54%
15-13
TTL
60%
18-12
60%
18-12
100%
27-0
100%
28-0