EASTERN MICHIGAN
EAGLESEMU
9-11 | Road
65
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CHIPPEWASCMU
5-15 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
CHIPPEWAS
100%
EAGLES
--
CHIPPEWAS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EMU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)
EMU By 1-7 points
27.2%
EMU By 8-14 points
23.0%
CMU By 1-7 points
18.6%
CMU By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Michigan
63
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Central Michigan
58
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Eastern Michigan
73
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Central Michigan
78
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chippewas
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Eagles (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Chippewas (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 17, 2026
CMU @ EMU
54 - 66
Jan 27, 2026
EMU @ CMU
65 - 100
Feb 28, 2025
CMU @ EMU
73 - 84
Jan 14, 2025
EMU @ CMU
63 - 82
Mar 8, 2024
EMU @ CMU
62 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.9% more
Eastern Michigan: 8.5
vs
Central Michigan: 5.3
Blocks (L5)
+21.1% more
Eastern Michigan: 5.4
vs
Central Michigan: 4.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.6%
Eastern Michigan: 80.5%
vs
Central Michigan: 67.0%
Rebounding (L5)
+11.0% more
Eastern Michigan: 36.1
vs
Central Michigan: 32.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EMU Score
63.0
65
CMU Score
58.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 30.6
47.0 / 26.0
Assists
12.5 / 13.6
24.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.3 / 5.4
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 44.1
56.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
67.0 / 80.5
73.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 36.1
33.0 / 25.0
Steals
5.3 / 8.5
9.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 9.9
9.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
CMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU
Advantage
20-10-0
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
CMU
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -3.6
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CMU
EMU
CMU
EMU
ML
57%
17-13
65%
20-11
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
ATS
67%
20-10
65%
20-11
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
TTL
67%
20-10
71%
22-9
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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