NEBRASKA
CORNHUSKERSNEB
20-0 | Road
72
MICHIGAN
WOLVERINESMICH
18-1 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
CORNHUSKERS
0%
WOLVERINES
100%
CORNHUSKERS
--
WOLVERINES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (Nebraska)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NEB -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
NEB By 1-7 points
0.0%
NEB By 8-14 points
0.4%
MICH By 1-7 points
0.0%
MICH By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Nebraska
84
NEBRASKA
Michigan
43
MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Nebraska
68
NEBRASKA
Michigan
73
MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cornhuskers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolverines
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cornhuskers (-11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim
Wolverines (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
NEB @ MICH
72 - 75
Feb 24, 2025
MICH @ NEB
49 - 46
Mar 10, 2024
NEB @ MICH
85 - 70
Feb 10, 2024
MICH @ NEB
59 - 79
Feb 8, 2023
NEB @ MICH
72 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+21.2% more
Nebraska: 19.9
vs
Michigan: 15.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.8%
Nebraska: 85.5%
vs
Michigan: 68.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
Nebraska: 36.7%
vs
Michigan: 30.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+66.3% more
Michigan: 12.6
vs
Nebraska: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NEB Score
84.0
72
MICH Score
43.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.6 / 36.7
23.0 / 34.0
Assists
15.7 / 19.9
15.0 / 16.0
Blocks
6.0 / 4.0
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.3 / 48.9
47.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
68.7 / 85.5
83.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
38.1 / 34.3
35.0 / 23.0
Steals
7.1 / 6.1
5.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 7.6
19.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEB
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
MICH
Advantage
37-3-0
(92.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEB
Advantage
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
MICH
19-21-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MICH
NEB
MICH
NEB
ML
78%
31-9
51%
18-17
63%
24-14
62%
21-13
ATS
78%
31-9
54%
19-16
63%
24-14
62%
21-13
TTL
57%
23-17
63%
22-13
100%
38-0
100%
34-0
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