PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
24-20 | Road
93
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
18-28 | Home
130
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
HORNETS
0%
76ERS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
PHI By 1-7 points
18.6%
PHI By 8-14 points
8.0%
CHA By 1-7 points
27.2%
CHA By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
118
PHILADELPHIA
Charlotte
123
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
106
PHILADELPHIA
Charlotte
118
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (-2)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o229.0
Loss
Proj Total: 241.0
D
Sim
u229.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
PHI @ CHA
118 - 114
Jan 26, 2026
PHI @ CHA
93 - 130
Oct 25, 2025
CHA @ PHI
121 - 125
Dec 20, 2024
CHA @ PHI
98 - 108
Dec 16, 2024
PHI @ CHA
121 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+14.6% more
Charlotte: 16.4
vs
Philadelphia: 14.3
Rebounding (L5)
+13.7% more
Charlotte: 47.4
vs
Philadelphia: 41.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Charlotte: 36.8%
vs
Philadelphia: 32.2%
Steals (L5)
+30.7% more
Philadelphia: 10.6
vs
Charlotte: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
118.0
93
CHA Score
123.0
130
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 32.2
41.0 / 30.0
Assists
27.4 / 26.9
34.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.9
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 49.3
57.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
79.9 / 79.8
70.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
47.4 / 41.7
53.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.4 / 10.6
8.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
16.4 / 14.3
24.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
PHI
CHA
PHI
ML
61%
60-39
63%
69-40
48%
40-44
48%
45-48
ATS
60%
59-40
65%
71-38
48%
40-44
48%
45-48
TTL
58%
57-42
55%
60-49
100%
84-0
100%
93-0
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