Home / NBA Projections NBA / Lakers @ Bulls LAL @ CHI

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

27-17  |  Road

129
FINAL
Mon, Jan 26 • 8:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

23-22  |  Home

118
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
100%
📊
BULLS
0%
LAKERS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Chicago)
LakersLAL (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

5.5%

Bulls Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

LAL By 1-7 points

4.0%

LAL By 8-14 points

0.8%

CHI By 1-7 points

13.7%

CHI By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
109
LOS ANGELES
125
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
109
LOS ANGELES
118
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulls Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulls (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Bulls (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u234.5 Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim u234.5 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 CHI @ LAL 130 - 142
Jan 26, 2026 LAL @ CHI 129 - 118
Mar 27, 2025 LAL @ CHI 117 - 119
Mar 22, 2025 CHI @ LAL 146 - 115
Jan 25, 2024 CHI @ LAL 132 - 141
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +31.3% more
Chicago: 32.7 vs Los Angeles: 24.9
Free Throw % (L5) +6.1%
Chicago: 81.2% vs Los Angeles: 75.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
Chicago: 44.3% vs Los Angeles: 38.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.2%
Chicago: 49.8% vs Los Angeles: 46.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAL Score 109.0 129
CHI Score 125.0 118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.3 / 38.5 37.0 / 48.0
Assists 32.7 / 24.9 31.0 / 26.0
Blocks 5.7 / 6.1 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.8 / 46.6 52.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 81.2 / 75.1 78.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 43.3 / 46.0 40.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.1 / 7.9 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 13.6 15.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
61%MONEY39%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
LAL
CHI
LAL
ML
56% 54-42
61% 68-43
57% 46-35
54% 49-42
ATS
65% 62-33-1
61% 67-43-1
57% 46-35
54% 49-42
TTL
58% 56-40
61% 66-43-2
100% 81-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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