ORLANDO
MAGICORL
23-21 | Road
98
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
27-20 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
CAVALIERS
100%
MAGIC
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
244.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
26.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
24.3%
CLE By 1-7 points
16.9%
CLE By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
125
ORLANDO
Cleveland
119
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Orlando
107
ORLANDO
Cleveland
112
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o224.5
Loss
Proj Total: 244.0
D
Sim
u224.5
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
ORL @ CLE
131 - 136
Mar 11, 2026
CLE @ ORL
122 - 128
Jan 26, 2026
ORL @ CLE
98 - 114
Jan 24, 2026
CLE @ ORL
119 - 105
Mar 16, 2025
ORL @ CLE
108 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.6%
Orlando: 85.2%
vs
Cleveland: 79.6%
Blocks (L5)
+42.4% more
Cleveland: 6.0
vs
Orlando: 4.2
Rebounding (L5)
+16.6% more
Cleveland: 45.8
vs
Orlando: 39.3
Steals (L5)
+9.0% more
Cleveland: 8.2
vs
Orlando: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
125.0
98
CLE Score
119.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 32.6
44.0 / 28.0
Assists
26.2 / 25.0
23.0 / 21.0
Blocks
6.0 / 4.2
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 43.1
53.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
79.6 / 85.2
70.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
45.8 / 39.3
45.0 / 42.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.5
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 15.1
16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
ORL
CLE
ORL
ML
60%
69-46
61%
65-42
56%
55-44
56%
51-40
ATS
67%
75-37-3
64%
68-38-1
56%
55-44
56%
51-40
TTL
59%
68-47
57%
61-46
100%
99-0
100%
91-0
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