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DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

5-14  |  Road

64
FINAL
Mon, Jan 26 • 7:30 PM ET
Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

4-16  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
HORNETS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (South Carolina State)
HornetsDSU (-3.5) 0 BulldogsSCST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

0.1%

Bulldogs Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCST -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCST)

DSU By 1-7 points

0.1%

DSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

SCST By 1-7 points

0.8%

SCST By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
66
DELAWARE STATE
97
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Simulated Score
69
DELAWARE STATE
73
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o136.5 Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 2, 2026 SCST @ DSU 61 - 59
Jan 26, 2026 DSU @ SCST 64 - 70
Feb 22, 2025 SCST @ DSU 94 - 88
Jan 11, 2025 DSU @ SCST 76 - 75
Mar 14, 2024 DSU @ SCST 71 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +156.9% more
South Carolina State: 5.2 vs Delaware State: 2.0
Turnovers (L5) +13.2% more
South Carolina State: 16.0 vs Delaware State: 14.1
Assists (L5) +11.6% more
South Carolina State: 12.0 vs Delaware State: 10.7
Rebounding (L5) +9.4% more
South Carolina State: 34.2 vs Delaware State: 31.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DSU Score 66.0 64
SCST Score 97.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 30.5 47.0 / 17.0
Assists 12.0 / 10.7 14.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.2 / 2.0 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 42.0 48.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 65.6 / 69.1 64.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 34.2 / 31.2 27.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.4 / 6.8 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 16.0 / 14.1 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
37%MONEY63%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
SCST Advantage
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
SCST Advantage
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCST
DSU
SCST
DSU
ML
61% 19-12
60% 18-12
74% 20-7
75% 18-6
ATS
68% 21-10
60% 18-12
74% 20-7
72% 18-7
TTL
52% 16-15
57% 17-13
100% 27-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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