Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blue Devils @ Skyhawks CCSU @ STO

CENTRAL CONNECTICUT

BLUE DEVILSCCSU

10-8  |  Road

59
FINAL
Mon, Jan 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Merkert Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

STONEHILL

SKYHAWKSSTO

6-14  |  Home

61
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEVILS
0%
📊
SKYHAWKS
100%
BLUE DEVILS --
SKYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Central Connecticut)
Blue DevilsCCSU (-3.5) 0 SkyhawksSTO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Devils Cover

99.8%

Skyhawks Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CCSU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCSU)

CCSU By 1-7 points

1.4%

CCSU By 8-14 points

5.8%

STO By 1-7 points

0.1%

STO By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
94
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
65
STONEHILL
Simulated Score
68
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
72
STONEHILL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blue Devils Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Skyhawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blue Devils (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Skyhawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o136.5 Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 26, 2026 CCSU @ STO 59 - 61
Jan 8, 2026 STO @ CCSU 69 - 76
Feb 22, 2025 STO @ CCSU 41 - 67
Feb 1, 2025 CCSU @ STO 71 - 63
Mar 2, 2024 STO @ CCSU 67 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +15.8%
Central Connecticut: 81.0% vs Stonehill: 65.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.1%
Central Connecticut: 35.3% vs Stonehill: 32.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.7%
Central Connecticut: 46.8% vs Stonehill: 44.1%
Turnovers (L5) +57.0% more
Stonehill: 16.0 vs Central Connecticut: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score 94.0 59
STO Score 65.0 61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 35.3 14.0 / 45.0
Assists 14.7 / 12.1 11.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.0 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 46.8 40.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 65.2 / 81.0 67.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 39.2 / 32.4 34.0 / 30.0
Steals 3.8 / 4.0 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 16.0 / 10.2 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSU Advantage
18-12-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
STO
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSU Advantage
14-13-1 (51.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
STO
14-15-2 (48.3%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +3.0
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5% Total +/-: -4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STO
CCSU
STO
CCSU
ML
45% 15-18
57% 17-13
70% 23-10
57% 17-13
ATS
39% 13-20
63% 19-11
70% 23-10
57% 17-13
TTL
55% 18-15
60% 18-12
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 6 hours, 44 minutes ago
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day, 1 hour ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago
Aden Holloway Reinstated to Alabama Basketball Roster, Suspended…
saturdaydownsouth 2 days, 6 hours ago
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
yahoo 3 days, 7 hours ago