ARIZONA
WILDCATSARIZ
20-0 | Road
86
BYU
COUGARSBYU
17-2 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
COUGARS
0%
WILDCATS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (BYU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BYU -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
ARIZ By 1-7 points
3.3%
ARIZ By 8-14 points
0.6%
BYU By 1-7 points
12.2%
BYU By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
58
ARIZONA
BYU
75
BYU
Simulated Score
Arizona
79
ARIZONA
BYU
72
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cougars (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u166.5
Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u166.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
BYU @ ARIZ
68 - 75
Jan 26, 2026
ARIZ @ BYU
86 - 83
Feb 22, 2025
BYU @ ARIZ
96 - 95
Feb 4, 2025
ARIZ @ BYU
85 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+37.8% more
BYU: 10.6
vs
Arizona: 7.7
Blocks (L5)
+18.4% more
BYU: 5.2
vs
Arizona: 4.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
BYU: 80.1%
vs
Arizona: 72.2%
Assists (L5)
+21.7% more
Arizona: 17.4
vs
BYU: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARIZ Score
58.0
86
BYU Score
75.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 33.6
38.0 / 33.0
Assists
13.6 / 17.4
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
5.2 / 4.4
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 50.6
40.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
80.1 / 72.2
63.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
40.8 / 42.7
37.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.5 / 8.2
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 7.7
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARIZ
Advantage
36-3-0
(92.3%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +3.2
BYU
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARIZ
Advantage
23-15-1
(60.5%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +3.2
BYU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ARIZ
20-19-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
ARIZ
BYU
ARIZ
ML
60%
21-14
67%
26-13
72%
23-9
68%
23-11
ATS
54%
19-16
74%
29-10
72%
23-9
68%
23-11
TTL
69%
24-11
56%
22-17
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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