VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
25-13-12 | Road
1
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
23-21-7 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Mads Sogaard
#40 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 7.00 | 0.781 | -- |
| Mads Sogaard | None-None | 1.00 | 0.950 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
7.00
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.781
Save %
Ldr 0.950
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
SENATORS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
VGK By 1 goal
6.6%
VGK By 2-3 goals
3.7%
OTT By 1 goal
17.5%
OTT By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Vegas
5
VEGAS
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 25, 2026
VGK @ OTT
1 - 7
Nov 26, 2025
OTT @ VGK
4 - 3
Nov 21, 2024
VGK @ OTT
3 - 2
Oct 25, 2024
OTT @ VGK
4 - 6
Feb 24, 2024
VGK @ OTT
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+21.6% more
Ottawa: 24.0
vs
Vegas: 19.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+16.9%
Ottawa: 62.6%
vs
Vegas: 45.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+15.1% more
Ottawa: 5.7
vs
Vegas: 5.0
Power Play % (L5)
+4.2%
Vegas: 17.0%
vs
Ottawa: 12.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
2.0
1
OTT Score
4.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.5 / 14.3
19.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
62.6 / 45.6
45.1 / 54.9
Hits
24.0 / 19.7
34.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
1278.0 / 1698.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.4 / 30.7
31.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
5.7 / 5.0
3.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
VGK
OTT
VGK
ML
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
TTL
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…