SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
12-34 | Road
116
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
32-11 | Home
139
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
PISTONS
0%
KINGS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
244.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
SAC By 1-7 points
8.0%
SAC By 8-14 points
2.2%
DET By 1-7 points
20.1%
DET By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
116
SACRAMENTO
Detroit
128
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Sacramento
108
SACRAMENTO
Detroit
120
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (+13)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o226.0
Win
Proj Total: 244.0
D
Sim
u226.0
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 25, 2026
SAC @ DET
116 - 139
Dec 23, 2025
DET @ SAC
136 - 127
Apr 7, 2025
SAC @ DET
127 - 117
Dec 26, 2024
DET @ SAC
114 - 113
Feb 7, 2024
DET @ SAC
133 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+89.2% more
Detroit: 10.9
vs
Sacramento: 5.8
Blocks (L5)
+69.2% more
Detroit: 6.8
vs
Sacramento: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+16.2% more
Detroit: 16.7
vs
Sacramento: 14.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.4%
Sacramento: 85.4%
vs
Detroit: 73.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
116.0
116
DET Score
128.0
139
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 36.4
52.0 / 44.0
Assists
24.9 / 26.5
31.0 / 32.0
Blocks
6.8 / 4.0
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 48.8
55.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
73.0 / 85.4
82.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
42.5 / 43.9
43.0 / 33.0
Steals
10.9 / 5.8
15.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.7 / 14.3
19.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
SAC
DET
SAC
ML
55%
64-53
55%
55-45
49%
47-49
61%
50-32
ATS
53%
60-54-3
54%
52-45-3
49%
47-49
61%
50-32
TTL
60%
70-46-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
96-0
100%
82-0
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