USC
TROJANSUSC
14-5 | Road
73
WISCONSIN
BADGERSWIS
14-5 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
TROJANS
0%
BADGERS
100%
TROJANS
--
BADGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
USC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (USC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around USC -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USC)
USC By 1-7 points
4.8%
USC By 8-14 points
13.7%
WIS By 1-7 points
0.8%
WIS By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
USC
85
USC
Wisconsin
62
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
USC
68
USC
Wisconsin
72
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Trojans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Badgers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Trojans (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Badgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 25, 2026
USC @ WIS
73 - 71
Jan 18, 2025
WIS @ USC
84 - 69
Nov 25, 2022
USC @ WIS
59 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.5% more
USC: 4.3
vs
Wisconsin: 3.1
Turnovers (L5)
+20.2% more
USC: 10.4
vs
Wisconsin: 8.3
Steals (L5)
+13.0% more
USC: 5.3
vs
Wisconsin: 4.6
Assists (L5)
+25.3% more
Wisconsin: 19.6
vs
USC: 15.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
USC Score
85.0
73
WIS Score
62.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 20.7
24.0 / 25.0
Assists
19.6 / 15.6
10.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.1 / 4.3
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 43.2
34.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
78.1 / 61.4
80.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 38.3
42.0 / 41.0
Steals
4.6 / 5.3
3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
8.3 / 10.4
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USC
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
WIS
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USC
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
WIS
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
USC
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
USC
WIS
USC
ML
60%
21-14
52%
16-15
69%
24-11
58%
18-13
ATS
51%
18-17
68%
21-10
69%
24-11
58%
18-13
TTL
57%
20-15
68%
21-10
100%
35-0
100%
31-0
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