ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
27-21-3 | Road
4
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
21-25-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 2.86 | 0.914 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 3.82 | 0.810 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.86 Ldr
GAA
3.82
0.914 Ldr
Save %
0.810
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
FLAMES
0%
DUCKS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
ANA By 1 goal
12.1%
ANA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CGY By 1 goal
19.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
CGY @ ANA
5 - 3
Mar 26, 2026
ANA @ CGY
3 - 2
Mar 1, 2026
CGY @ ANA
2 - 3
Jan 25, 2026
ANA @ CGY
4 - 3
Apr 9, 2025
CGY @ ANA
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+20.7% more
Anaheim: 26.3
vs
Calgary: 20.8
Takeaways (L5)
+14.1% more
Anaheim: 4.4
vs
Calgary: 3.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.0% more
Anaheim: 26.6
vs
Calgary: 23.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.7% more
Anaheim: 15.5
vs
Calgary: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
3.0
4
CGY Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.2 / 15.5
18.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
46.0 / 49.1
58.2 / 41.8
Hits
20.8 / 26.3
28.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
23.1 / 22.6
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.4 / 26.6
35.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 4.4
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
ANA
CGY
ANA
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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