PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
25-14-11 | Road
3
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
17-29-5 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pierre-Olivier Joseph
#73 | D@
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Olivier Joseph | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 3.09 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.09
--
Save %
0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
CANUCKS
0%
PENGUINS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
PIT By 1 goal
12.1%
PIT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VAN By 1 goal
19.7%
VAN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Canucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 25, 2026
PIT @ VAN
3 - 2
Oct 21, 2025
VAN @ PIT
1 - 5
Nov 27, 2024
VAN @ PIT
4 - 5
Oct 26, 2024
PIT @ VAN
3 - 4
Feb 27, 2024
PIT @ VAN
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+10.9% more
Vancouver: 18.3
vs
Pittsburgh: 16.5
Takeaways (L5)
+13.9% more
Pittsburgh: 5.0
vs
Vancouver: 4.3
Power Play % (L5)
+1.5%
Pittsburgh: 6.1%
vs
Vancouver: 4.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
3.0
3
VAN Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.3 / 12.6
13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
47.6 / 48.9
45.1 / 54.9
Hits
18.3 / 16.5
25.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
454.0 / 605.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.0 / 26.6
32.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 5.0
7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
PIT
VAN
PIT
ML
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
ATS
40%
2-3
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
75%
3-1
TTL
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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