AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
WOLVES
100%
ROYALS
--
WOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
WEST GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WGA +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WGA)
QUC By 1-7 points
27.2%
QUC By 8-14 points
23.0%
WGA By 1-7 points
18.6%
WGA By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Queens University
75
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
West Georgia
70
WEST GEORGIA
Simulated Score
Queens University
72
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
West Georgia
75
WEST GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Royals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolves (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
Wolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
WGA @ QUC
63 - 71
Feb 21, 2026
WGA @ QUC
84 - 91
Jan 24, 2026
QUC @ WGA
66 - 74
Feb 24, 2025
QUC @ WGA
72 - 57
Feb 1, 2025
WGA @ QUC
68 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+21.4% more
Queens University: 15.3
vs
West Georgia: 12.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.2%
Queens University: 81.9%
vs
West Georgia: 70.7%
Rebounding (L5)
+10.9% more
Queens University: 36.1
vs
West Georgia: 32.2
Steals (L5)
+9.7% more
Queens University: 6.1
vs
West Georgia: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUC Score
75.0
66
WGA Score
70.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.2 / 26.8
40.0 / 40.0
Assists
12.0 / 15.3
7.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.9 / 3.6
10.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 49.3
46.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
70.7 / 81.9
64.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 36.1
37.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.5 / 6.1
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 9.5
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
WGA
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
WGA
Advantage
21-9-0
(70.0%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WGA
QUC
WGA
QUC
ML
58%
18-13
71%
25-10
61%
19-12
71%
24-10
ATS
71%
22-9
86%
30-5
61%
19-12
71%
24-10
TTL
55%
17-14
47%
16-18-1
100%
31-0
100%
34-0