Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Islanders @ Cardinals AMCC @ UIW

TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI

ISLANDERSAMCC

10-9  |  Road

79
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 4:30 PM ET
McDermott Center
View Odds Details →

INCARNATE WORD

CARDINALSUIW

9-10  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
📊
CARDINALS
100%
ISLANDERS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
IslandersAMCC (-3.5) 0 CardinalsUIW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

96.4%

Cardinals Cover

3.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AMCC -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)

AMCC By 1-7 points

10.7%

AMCC By 8-14 points

21.6%

UIW By 1-7 points

2.7%

UIW By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
75
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
57
INCARNATE WORD
Simulated Score
67
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
78
INCARNATE WORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Islanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Islanders (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u136.5 Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 2, 2026 UIW @ AMCC 71 - 69
Jan 24, 2026 AMCC @ UIW 79 - 71
Feb 15, 2025 UIW @ AMCC 55 - 69
Jan 18, 2025 AMCC @ UIW 69 - 63
Mar 6, 2024 UIW @ AMCC 52 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +38.8% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 4.3 vs Incarnate Word: 2.6
Turnovers (L5) +28.1% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 13.5 vs Incarnate Word: 9.7
Steals (L5) +24.3% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 6.6 vs Incarnate Word: 5.0
Field Goal % (L5) +6.4%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 44.6% vs Incarnate Word: 38.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AMCC Score 75.0 79
UIW Score 57.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.8 / 30.2 37.0 / 57.0
Assists 9.2 / 9.3 10.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.6 / 4.3 7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 38.3 / 44.6 45.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 76.6 / 67.2 60.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 32.2 / 29.6 32.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.0 / 6.6 6.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 13.5 17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMCC Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
UIW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMCC Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
UIW
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -2.3
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIW
AMCC
UIW
AMCC
ML
47% 14-16
70% 21-9
76% 22-7
67% 18-9
ATS
53% 16-14
67% 20-10
77% 23-7
67% 18-9
TTL
60% 18-12
60% 18-12
100% 30-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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