AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
100%
COWBOYS
0%
PRIVATEERS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
MCNEESE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (McNeese)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MCN -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MCN)
UNO By 1-7 points
16.9%
UNO By 8-14 points
6.8%
MCN By 1-7 points
26.8%
MCN By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New Orleans
56
NEW ORLEANS
McNeese
62
MCNEESE
Simulated Score
New Orleans
65
NEW ORLEANS
McNeese
78
MCNEESE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (+16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
MCN @ UNO
66 - 63
Jan 24, 2026
UNO @ MCN
63 - 82
Feb 15, 2025
MCN @ UNO
78 - 64
Dec 28, 2024
UNO @ MCN
61 - 86
Mar 6, 2024
MCN @ UNO
81 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+92.5% more
McNeese: 8.7
vs
New Orleans: 4.5
Blocks (L5)
+10.0% more
McNeese: 4.3
vs
New Orleans: 3.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.2%
McNeese: 76.4%
vs
New Orleans: 72.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+27.9% more
New Orleans: 13.2
vs
McNeese: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNO Score
56.0
63
MCN Score
62.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.4 / 30.1
24.0 / 29.0
Assists
11.1 / 11.8
18.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 49.2
41.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
76.4 / 72.2
83.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 38.6
41.0 / 29.0
Steals
8.7 / 4.5
16.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 13.2
10.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
MCN
Advantage
28-6-0
(82.4%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
MCN
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MCN
UNO
MCN
UNO
ML
67%
22-11
52%
16-15
88%
28-4
57%
17-13
ATS
76%
25-8
52%
16-15
88%
28-4
57%
17-13
TTL
42%
14-19
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
30-0