COPPIN STATE
EAGLESCOPP
3-18 | Road
76
NORFOLK STATE
SPARTANSNORF
9-12 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
SPARTANS
0%
EAGLES
--
SPARTANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
195.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
NORFOLK STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Norfolk State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NORF -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NORF)
COPP By 1-7 points
0.1%
COPP By 8-14 points
0.0%
NORF By 1-7 points
0.8%
NORF By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Coppin State
82
COPPIN STATE
Norfolk State
113
NORFOLK STATE
Simulated Score
Coppin State
58
COPPIN STATE
Norfolk State
70
NORFOLK STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spartans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spartans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spartans (-13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Spartans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Win
Proj Total: 195.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
NORF @ COPP
75 - 69
Jan 24, 2026
COPP @ NORF
76 - 103
Feb 22, 2025
NORF @ COPP
79 - 63
Jan 11, 2025
COPP @ NORF
69 - 92
Mar 13, 2024
COPP @ NORF
51 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+49.2% more
Norfolk State: 2.9
vs
Coppin State: 2.0
Steals (L5)
+11.5% more
Norfolk State: 6.5
vs
Coppin State: 5.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
Norfolk State: 50.2%
vs
Coppin State: 41.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+26.7% more
Coppin State: 16.5
vs
Norfolk State: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COPP Score
82.0
76
NORF Score
113.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.1 / 36.6
54.0 / 29.0
Assists
10.9 / 11.1
19.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.0
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
50.2 / 41.5
57.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 76.3
77.0 / 47.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 31.2
37.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.5 / 5.8
13.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 16.5
19.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
NORF
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
NORF
Advantage
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +2.1
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NORF
COPP
NORF
COPP
ML
67%
20-10
65%
20-11
71%
20-8
79%
19-5
ATS
63%
19-11
68%
21-10
72%
21-8
79%
19-5
TTL
60%
18-12
52%
16-15
100%
29-0
100%
24-0
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