Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vaqueros @ Huskies RGV @ HCU

UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY

VAQUEROSRGV

8-11  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 4:30 PM ET
Sharp Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON CHRISTIAN

HUSKIESHCU

7-12  |  Home

51
AI Model Win Probability
VAQUEROS
0%
📊
HUSKIES
100%
VAQUEROS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (UT Rio Grande Valley)
VaquerosRGV (-3.5) 0 HuskiesHCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vaqueros Cover

93.3%

Huskies Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RGV -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RGV)

RGV By 1-7 points

15.3%

RGV By 8-14 points

25.3%

HCU By 1-7 points

4.8%

HCU By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
74
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
59
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
70
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
75
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Vaqueros Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Vaqueros (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 2, 2026 HCU @ RGV 57 - 74
Jan 24, 2026 RGV @ HCU 68 - 51
Feb 15, 2025 HCU @ RGV 52 - 76
Jan 18, 2025 RGV @ HCU 57 - 66
Dec 18, 2022 HCU @ RGV 90 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +8.7% more
UT Rio Grande Valley: 33.2 vs Houston Christian: 30.3
Free Throw % (L5) +5.5%
UT Rio Grande Valley: 77.0% vs Houston Christian: 71.4%
Blocks (L5) +89.3% more
Houston Christian: 3.9 vs UT Rio Grande Valley: 2.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.7%
Houston Christian: 42.2% vs UT Rio Grande Valley: 33.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RGV Score 74.0 68
HCU Score 59.0 51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.2 / 33.5 38.0 / 44.0
Assists 16.1 / 17.5 14.0 / 22.0
Blocks 3.9 / 2.1 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.0 / 46.0 43.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 71.4 / 77.0 63.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 30.3 / 33.2 29.0 / 24.0
Steals 5.9 / 5.6 6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 11.9 19.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
86%MONEY14%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RGV Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +4.1
HCU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RGV Advantage
18-13-0 (58.1%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +4.1
HCU
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
RGV
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.5
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HCU
RGV
HCU
RGV
ML
68% 21-10
53% 16-14
81% 25-6
54% 15-13
ATS
58% 18-13
53% 16-14
81% 26-6
54% 15-13
TTL
68% 21-10
60% 18-12
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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