Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Great Danes @ Wildcats UALB @ UNH

UALBANY

GREAT DANESUALB

7-13  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 2:00 PM ET
Lundholm Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

NEW HAMPSHIRE

WILDCATSUNH

6-12  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
GREAT DANES --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (New Hampshire)
Great DanesUALB (-3.5) 0 WildcatsUNH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Great Danes Cover

1.1%

Wildcats Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNH -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNH)

UALB By 1-7 points

0.8%

UALB By 8-14 points

0.1%

UNH By 1-7 points

4.8%

UNH By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
61
UALBANY
84
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Simulated Score
71
UALBANY
78
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o137.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 UNH @ UALB 61 - 84
Jan 24, 2026 UALB @ UNH 72 - 80
Feb 22, 2025 UNH @ UALB 71 - 60
Jan 9, 2025 UALB @ UNH 61 - 57
Feb 29, 2024 UNH @ UALB 67 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +10.4% more
New Hampshire: 39.6 vs UAlbany: 35.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.7%
New Hampshire: 31.3% vs UAlbany: 29.6%
Blocks (L5) +28.3% more
UAlbany: 3.3 vs New Hampshire: 2.4
Steals (L5) +11.9% more
UAlbany: 5.7 vs New Hampshire: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UALB Score 61.0 72
UNH Score 84.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 29.6 43.0 / 29.0
Assists 13.0 / 13.6 17.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.4 / 3.3 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 43.6 45.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 62.6 / 70.7 88.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 39.6 / 35.9 23.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.0 / 5.7 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 11.0 11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB Advantage
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
UNH
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0 (37.9%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
UNH Advantage
12-16-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +0.3
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNH
UALB
UNH
UALB
ML
70% 19-8
55% 17-14
74% 20-7
71% 22-9
ATS
67% 18-9
77% 24-7
74% 20-7
72% 23-9
TTL
59% 16-11
61% 19-12
100% 27-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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