AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
100%
BLACK BEARS
0%
BEARCATS
--
BLACK BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
MAINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Maine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ME -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ME)
BING By 1-7 points
16.9%
BING By 8-14 points
6.8%
ME By 1-7 points
26.8%
ME By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Binghamton
61
BINGHAMTON
Maine
67
MAINE
Simulated Score
Binghamton
67
BINGHAMTON
Maine
70
MAINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Black Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Black Bears (+6)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Black Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o124.0
Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u124.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
ME @ BING
67 - 74
Jan 24, 2026
BING @ ME
63 - 79
Feb 22, 2025
ME @ BING
69 - 71
Jan 9, 2025
BING @ ME
71 - 82
Feb 29, 2024
ME @ BING
74 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+19.4% more
Maine: 3.8
vs
Binghamton: 3.2
Turnovers (L5)
+23.9% more
Binghamton: 12.3
vs
Maine: 9.4
Rebounding (L5)
+19.9% more
Binghamton: 35.3
vs
Maine: 28.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.7%
Binghamton: 34.2%
vs
Maine: 21.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BING Score
61.0
63
ME Score
67.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
21.4 / 34.2
50.0 / 27.0
Assists
11.1 / 10.9
23.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.2
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.3 / 43.1
56.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
71.8 / 72.4
83.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
28.3 / 35.3
22.0 / 24.0
Steals
5.9 / 5.7
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 12.3
7.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BING
Advantage
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -1.7
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BING
Advantage
14-13-0
(51.8%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -1.7
ME
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BING
15-12-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4%
Total +/-: +5.2
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ME
BING
ME
BING
ML
45%
14-17
67%
20-10
52%
16-15
57%
17-13
ATS
55%
17-14
73%
22-8
52%
16-15
57%
17-13
TTL
55%
17-14
70%
21-9
100%
31-0
100%
30-0