Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Colonels @ Lions NICH @ SELA

NICHOLLS

COLONELSNICH

8-11  |  Road

61
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 2:30 PM ET
University Center
View Odds Details →

SE LOUISIANA

LIONSSELA

5-14  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
0%
📊
LIONS
100%
COLONELS --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
98.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
NICHOLLS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Nicholls)
ColonelsNICH (-3.5) 0 LionsSELA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonels Cover

91.9%

Lions Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NICH -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NICH)

NICH By 1-7 points

16.9%

NICH By 8-14 points

26.2%

SELA By 1-7 points

5.8%

SELA By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
56
NICHOLLS
42
SE LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
71
NICHOLLS
75
SE LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Colonels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Colonels (-2) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.0 Win
Proj Total: 98.0
D
Sim u142.0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 SELA @ NICH 60 - 68
Jan 24, 2026 NICH @ SELA 61 - 67
Feb 15, 2025 NICH @ SELA 81 - 84
Dec 5, 2024 SELA @ NICH 64 - 67
Mar 7, 2024 NICH @ SELA 80 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +31.3% more
Nicholls: 9.3 vs SE Louisiana: 6.4
Free Throw % (L5) +4.6%
Nicholls: 71.0% vs SE Louisiana: 66.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Nicholls: 33.8% vs SE Louisiana: 30.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
Nicholls: 42.0% vs SE Louisiana: 40.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NICH Score 56.0 61
SELA Score 42.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.1 / 33.8 23.0 / 25.0
Assists 13.3 / 13.2 7.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.3 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 40.4 / 42.0 38.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 66.4 / 71.0 76.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 32.5 / 29.4 45.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.4 / 9.3 3.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 12.1 18.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NICH Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
SELA
9-22-0 (29.0%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NICH Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
SELA
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +1.4
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SELA
NICH
SELA
NICH
ML
70% 21-9
53% 17-15
66% 19-10
68% 19-9
ATS
60% 18-12
47% 15-17
67% 20-10
68% 19-9
TTL
70% 21-9
56% 18-14
100% 30-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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