PORTLAND STATE
VIKINGSPRST
12-5 | Road
69
IDAHO
VANDALSIDHO
12-7 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
0%
VANDALS
100%
VIKINGS
--
VANDALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Portland State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PRST -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)
PRST By 1-7 points
21.6%
PRST By 8-14 points
27.4%
IDHO By 1-7 points
9.3%
IDHO By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland State
94
PORTLAND STATE
Idaho
83
IDAHO
Simulated Score
Portland State
68
PORTLAND STATE
Idaho
72
IDAHO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Vikings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vandals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Vikings (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Vandals (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
IDHO @ PRST
67 - 77
Jan 24, 2026
PRST @ IDHO
69 - 66
Mar 10, 2025
IDHO @ PRST
80 - 70
Feb 6, 2025
PRST @ IDHO
76 - 69
Jan 11, 2025
IDHO @ PRST
63 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.7% more
Portland State: 4.4
vs
Idaho: 3.0
Assists (L5)
+29.4% more
Portland State: 16.5
vs
Idaho: 11.6
Turnovers (L5)
+9.8% more
Portland State: 12.7
vs
Idaho: 11.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.9%
Idaho: 34.5%
vs
Portland State: 26.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRST Score
94.0
69
IDHO Score
83.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 26.6
29.0 / 46.0
Assists
11.6 / 16.5
10.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.0 / 4.4
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 46.5
41.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 74.9
68.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 37.2
37.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.5 / 7.0
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 12.7
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRST
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
IDHO
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRST
Advantage
18-9-1
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
IDHO
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.9
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IDHO
PRST
IDHO
PRST
ML
56%
20-16
65%
20-11
64%
21-12
71%
22-9
ATS
58%
21-15
71%
22-9
64%
21-12
71%
22-9
TTL
69%
25-11
47%
14-16-1
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
