AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
CATAMOUNTS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
VERMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (Vermont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UVM -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVM)
UVM By 1-7 points
0.0%
UVM By 8-14 points
0.4%
BRY By 1-7 points
0.0%
BRY By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Vermont
94
VERMONT
Bryant
53
BRYANT
Simulated Score
Vermont
75
VERMONT
Bryant
65
BRYANT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o135.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
BRY @ UVM
57 - 77
Feb 14, 2026
BRY @ UVM
63 - 90
Jan 24, 2026
UVM @ BRY
62 - 52
Feb 20, 2025
BRY @ UVM
55 - 59
Jan 11, 2025
UVM @ BRY
53 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Vermont: 46.6%
vs
Bryant: 38.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
Vermont: 35.1%
vs
Bryant: 28.2%
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.0%
Vermont: 77.2%
vs
Bryant: 71.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+42.6% more
Bryant: 12.6
vs
Vermont: 8.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UVM Score
94.0
62
BRY Score
53.0
52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.2 / 35.1
17.0 / 35.0
Assists
12.1 / 10.4
7.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.1
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
38.2 / 46.6
32.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
71.2 / 77.2
82.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 34.8
30.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.0 / 4.7
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 8.8
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVM
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVM
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.9
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRY
UVM
BRY
UVM
ML
70%
21-9
56%
19-15
80%
24-6
65%
22-12
ATS
73%
22-8
62%
21-13
80%
24-6
65%
22-12
TTL
67%
20-10
47%
16-18
100%
30-0
100%
34-0