Home / NHL Projections NHL / Lightning @ Blue Jackets TB @ CBJ

TAMPA BAY

LIGHTNINGTB

32-13-4  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 7:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena
View Odds Details →

COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

23-20-7  |  Home

8
Goaltending
J.J. Moser
GOALTENDER

J.J. Moser

#90 | Defense
@
Jet Greaves
GOALTENDER

Jet Greaves

#73 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
J.J. Moser None-None -- -- --
Jet Greaves None-None 5.00 0.833 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 5.00
-- Save % 0.833
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
LIGHTNING
0%
📊
BLUE JACKETS
100%
LIGHTNING --
BLUE JACKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
LightningTB (-3.5) 0 Blue JacketsCBJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lightning Cover

30.9%

Blue Jackets Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CBJ +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)

TB By 1 goal

19.7%

TB By 2-3 goals

29.6%

CBJ By 1 goal

12.1%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
TAMPA BAY
2
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
4
TAMPA BAY
2
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lightning Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lightning Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blue Jackets (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Lightning (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 CBJ @ TB 5 - 2
Jan 24, 2026 TB @ CBJ 5 - 8
Oct 18, 2025 TB @ CBJ 2 - 3
Mar 4, 2025 CBJ @ TB 2 - 6
Dec 17, 2024 CBJ @ TB 3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +67.3% more
Columbus: 27.1 vs Tampa Bay: 16.2
Blocked Shots (L5) +48.3% more
Columbus: 17.0 vs Tampa Bay: 11.5
Takeaways (L5) +31.4% more
Columbus: 4.7 vs Tampa Bay: 3.6
Power Play % (L5) +3.2%
Columbus: 14.5% vs Tampa Bay: 11.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TB Score 3.0 5
CBJ Score 2.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.0 / 11.5 15.0 / 9.0
Faceoff % 47.2 / 47.1 39.0 / 61.0
Hits 27.1 / 16.2 27.0 / 22.0
Power Play % 14.5 / 11.3 50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 26.5 / 27.6 31.0 / 30.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 3.6 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
42%MONEY58%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
TB
CBJ
TB
ML
50% 1-1
67% 2-1
100% 2-0
67% 2-1
ATS
50% 1-1
67% 2-1
50% 1-1
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 1-1
67% 2-1
0% 0-2
100% 3-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
wsvn 4 minutes ago
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
si 1 day ago
Bryan Baker's Dominance Out of Bullpen Puts Rays One Win from AL…
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Flyers Land Michael Bunting in Bid to Stop Early Season Skid
yourvalley_net 2 days ago
Rays Capitalize on Yankees' Defensive Woes, Take 2-0 ALDS Lead
headtopics 2 days, 18 hours ago