Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Crusaders AMER @ HC

AMERICAN UNIVERSITY

EAGLESAMER

12-8  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 12:00 PM ET
Hart Center
View Odds Details →

HOLY CROSS

CRUSADERSHC

8-12  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
CRUSADERS
0%
EAGLES --
CRUSADERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
HOLY CROSS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (Holy Cross)
EaglesAMER (-3.5) 0 CrusadersHC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

0.0%

Crusaders Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HC -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HC)

AMER By 1-7 points

0.0%

AMER By 8-14 points

0.0%

HC By 1-7 points

0.0%

HC By 8-14 points

0.4%

AI Model Projected Score
45
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
86
HOLY CROSS
Simulated Score
67
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
75
HOLY CROSS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Crusaders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Crusaders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Crusaders (+5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim Crusaders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u139.5 Loss
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 AMER @ HC 76 - 67
Jan 10, 2026 HC @ AMER 84 - 73
Jan 18, 2025 AMER @ HC 74 - 65
Jan 5, 2025 HC @ AMER 64 - 75
Feb 10, 2024 AMER @ HC 56 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +33.2% more
American University: 13.5 vs Holy Cross: 9.0
Steals (L5) +30.6% more
American University: 6.6 vs Holy Cross: 4.6
Blocks (L5) +24.3% more
American University: 1.8 vs Holy Cross: 1.4
Turnovers (L5) +18.4% more
American University: 13.4 vs Holy Cross: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AMER Score 45.0 76
HC Score 86.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.1 / 34.1 45.0 / 30.0
Assists 9.0 / 13.5 10.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.4 / 1.8 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 46.0 44.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 78.1 / 79.4 86.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 29.7 / 34.3 30.0 / 31.0
Steals 4.6 / 6.6 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 13.4 14.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
97%MONEY3%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMER Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
HC
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMER Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
HC
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HC
AMER
HC
AMER
ML
52% 16-15
62% 20-12
61% 19-12
62% 20-12
ATS
55% 17-14
59% 19-13
64% 21-12
62% 20-12
TTL
58% 18-13
59% 19-13
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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