BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
28-16 | Road
111
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
22-22 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
BULLS
100%
CELTICS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
24.3%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.8%
CHI By 1-7 points
12.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
126
BOSTON
Chicago
117
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Boston
102
BOSTON
Chicago
115
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (+3)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o232.0
Loss
Proj Total: 243.0
D
Sim
u232.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
CHI @ BOS
105 - 124
Jan 24, 2026
BOS @ CHI
111 - 114
Jan 5, 2026
CHI @ BOS
101 - 115
Jan 29, 2025
CHI @ BOS
100 - 122
Dec 21, 2024
BOS @ CHI
123 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+32.0% more
Boston: 12.6
vs
Chicago: 8.6
Rebounding (L5)
+9.2% more
Boston: 47.4
vs
Chicago: 43.0
Assists (L5)
+26.9% more
Chicago: 33.1
vs
Boston: 26.1
Steals (L5)
+8.3% more
Chicago: 8.2
vs
Boston: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
126.0
111
CHI Score
117.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.9 / 38.8
47.0 / 32.0
Assists
33.1 / 26.1
32.0 / 28.0
Blocks
5.5 / 5.2
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 45.7
51.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
77.7 / 78.0
88.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
43.0 / 47.4
44.0 / 38.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.6
2.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 12.6
15.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
BOS
CHI
BOS
ML
56%
54-42
57%
61-46
57%
46-35
53%
47-41
ATS
65%
62-33-1
59%
61-43-3
57%
46-35
53%
47-41
TTL
58%
56-40
56%
60-47
100%
81-0
100%
88-0
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