CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
26-20 | Road
119
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
23-20 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
MAGIC
0%
CAVALIERS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
244.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
CLE By 1-7 points
16.9%
CLE By 8-14 points
6.8%
ORL By 1-7 points
26.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
119
CLEVELAND
Orlando
125
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
103
CLEVELAND
Orlando
108
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o226.0
Loss
Proj Total: 244.0
D
Sim
u226.0
Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
ORL @ CLE
131 - 136
Mar 11, 2026
CLE @ ORL
122 - 128
Jan 26, 2026
ORL @ CLE
98 - 114
Jan 24, 2026
CLE @ ORL
119 - 105
Mar 16, 2025
ORL @ CLE
108 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
Orlando: 83.9%
vs
Cleveland: 78.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Orlando: 34.8%
vs
Cleveland: 32.9%
Blocks (L5)
+19.7% more
Cleveland: 6.0
vs
Orlando: 4.8
Rebounding (L5)
+18.7% more
Cleveland: 49.8
vs
Orlando: 40.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
119.0
119
ORL Score
125.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 32.9
28.0 / 44.0
Assists
27.0 / 25.9
21.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.8 / 6.0
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 44.8
41.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
83.9 / 78.4
88.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
40.5 / 49.8
37.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.3 / 6.8
8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 14.8
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
CLE
ORL
CLE
ML
61%
65-42
60%
69-46
56%
51-40
56%
55-44
ATS
64%
68-38-1
67%
75-37-3
56%
51-40
56%
55-44
TTL
57%
61-46
59%
68-47
100%
91-0
100%
99-0
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