GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
11-10 | Road
71
ROBERT MORRIS
COLONIALSRMU
13-8 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
COLONIALS
0%
PHOENIX
--
COLONIALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
191.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ROBERT MORRIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Robert Morris)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RMU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RMU)
GB By 1-7 points
24.3%
GB By 8-14 points
13.7%
RMU By 1-7 points
26.2%
RMU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Green Bay
95
GREEN BAY
Robert Morris
96
ROBERT MORRIS
Simulated Score
Green Bay
66
GREEN BAY
Robert Morris
71
ROBERT MORRIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Colonials
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonials
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Colonials (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Colonials (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 191.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
GB @ RMU
71 - 67
Dec 4, 2025
RMU @ GB
80 - 78
Feb 21, 2025
GB @ RMU
85 - 94
Jan 17, 2025
RMU @ GB
89 - 67
Feb 8, 2024
GB @ RMU
81 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+43.8% more
Robert Morris: 5.4
vs
Green Bay: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+36.8% more
Robert Morris: 38.5
vs
Green Bay: 28.2
Turnovers (L5)
+36.6% more
Robert Morris: 14.9
vs
Green Bay: 10.9
Assists (L5)
+25.8% more
Robert Morris: 19.2
vs
Green Bay: 15.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GB Score
95.0
71
RMU Score
96.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.7 / 37.4
44.0 / 35.0
Assists
19.2 / 15.3
20.0 / 19.0
Blocks
2.2 / 4.4
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.6 / 52.1
42.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
68.8 / 81.8
58.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 28.2
33.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.4 / 3.7
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 10.9
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
RMU
Advantage
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RMU
GB
RMU
GB
ML
36%
12-21
48%
16-17
56%
18-14
67%
22-11
ATS
55%
18-15
52%
17-16
56%
18-14
67%
22-11
TTL
55%
18-15
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
