Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Matadors @ Rainbow Warriors CSUN @ HAW

CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE

MATADORSCSUN

11-9  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 11:59 PM ET
Stan Sheriff Center
View Odds Details →

HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

14-4  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
MATADORS
0%
📊
RAINBOW WARRIORS
100%
MATADORS --
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Cal State Northridge)
MatadorsCSUN (-3.5) 0 Rainbow WarriorsHAW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Matadors Cover

98.6%

Rainbow Warriors Cover

1.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CSUN -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUN)

CSUN By 1-7 points

5.8%

CSUN By 8-14 points

15.3%

HAW By 1-7 points

1.1%

HAW By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
96
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
74
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
65
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
72
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Matadors Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Matadors (-10.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 HAW @ CSUN 60 - 84
Jan 24, 2026 CSUN @ HAW 68 - 89
Mar 8, 2025 HAW @ CSUN 73 - 82
Jan 16, 2025 CSUN @ HAW 83 - 60
Mar 14, 2024 CSUN @ HAW 68 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +18.4% more
Cal State Northridge: 16.1 vs Hawai'i: 13.1
Blocks (L5) +30.1% more
Hawai'i: 4.2 vs Cal State Northridge: 3.3
Free Throw % (L5) +13.7%
Hawai'i: 77.1% vs Cal State Northridge: 63.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.5%
Hawai'i: 46.9% vs Cal State Northridge: 45.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSUN Score 96.0 68
HAW Score 74.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 30.3 40.0 / 26.0
Assists 13.1 / 16.1 15.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.3 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 45.4 47.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 77.1 / 63.4 72.0 / 47.0
Rebounding 40.1 / 43.0 44.0 / 42.0
Steals 6.2 / 5.9 9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 12.8 17.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUN
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUN Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
HAW
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUN
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +2.4
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
CSUN
HAW
CSUN
ML
61% 20-13
58% 19-14
68% 21-10
67% 22-11
ATS
67% 22-11
58% 19-14
68% 21-10
67% 22-11
TTL
61% 20-13
58% 19-14
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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