MANHATTAN
JASPERSMAN
8-13 | Road
57
IONA
GAELSIONA
13-8 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
JASPERS
100%
GAELS
0%
JASPERS
--
GAELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Iona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IONA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)
MAN By 1-7 points
23.0%
MAN By 8-14 points
12.2%
IONA By 1-7 points
26.8%
IONA By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Manhattan
65
MANHATTAN
Iona
67
IONA
Simulated Score
Manhattan
65
MANHATTAN
Iona
78
IONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gaels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gaels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gaels (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Gaels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
IONA @ MAN
69 - 65
Jan 24, 2026
MAN @ IONA
57 - 66
Mar 13, 2025
MAN @ IONA
65 - 77
Feb 21, 2025
MAN @ IONA
60 - 65
Jan 31, 2025
IONA @ MAN
55 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+22.7% more
Iona: 14.7
vs
Manhattan: 12.0
Blocks (L5)
+14.3% more
Iona: 3.5
vs
Manhattan: 3.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Iona: 35.8%
vs
Manhattan: 33.0%
Steals (L5)
+23.0% more
Manhattan: 8.4
vs
Iona: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MAN Score
65.0
57
IONA Score
67.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 33.0
29.0 / 19.0
Assists
14.7 / 12.0
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.5 / 3.1
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.0 / 41.2
41.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
60.0 / 82.9
75.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
32.3 / 31.0
40.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.4 / 8.4
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 9.9
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MAN
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
IONA
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MAN
11-19-1
(36.7%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
IONA
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +2.4
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IONA
MAN
IONA
MAN
ML
41%
13-19
52%
16-15
62%
20-12
68%
21-10
ATS
53%
17-15
52%
16-15
62%
20-12
69%
22-10
TTL
66%
21-11
77%
24-7
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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