COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
12-6 | Road
79
DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
9-8 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
BIG GREEN
100%
LIONS
--
BIG GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
COLUMBIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Columbia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLU -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLU)
COLU By 1-7 points
0.6%
COLU By 8-14 points
3.3%
DART By 1-7 points
0.1%
DART By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbia
88
COLUMBIA
Dartmouth
56
DARTMOUTH
Simulated Score
Columbia
68
COLUMBIA
Dartmouth
72
DARTMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Green
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Big Green (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u156.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
DART @ COLU
64 - 63
Jan 24, 2026
COLU @ DART
79 - 69
Feb 14, 2025
COLU @ DART
56 - 78
Feb 1, 2025
DART @ COLU
95 - 89
Feb 16, 2024
DART @ COLU
63 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+28.0% more
Columbia: 13.0
vs
Dartmouth: 9.4
Steals (L5)
+18.8% more
Columbia: 4.5
vs
Dartmouth: 3.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.8%
Columbia: 75.9%
vs
Dartmouth: 72.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Columbia: 48.3%
vs
Dartmouth: 45.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLU Score
88.0
79
DART Score
56.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 26.5
43.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.1 / 12.5
15.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.5
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 48.3
37.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 75.9
68.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
37.4 / 34.8
36.0 / 43.0
Steals
3.6 / 4.5
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 13.0
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLU
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
DART
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLU
Advantage
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
DART
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DART
COLU
DART
COLU
ML
62%
16-10
44%
12-15
50%
13-13
56%
15-12
ATS
65%
17-9
59%
16-11
50%
13-13
56%
15-12
TTL
88%
23-3
74%
20-7
100%
26-0
100%
27-0
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