HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
13-7 | Road
82
WILLIAM & MARY
TRIBEW&M
13-6 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
0%
TRIBE
100%
PRIDE
--
TRIBE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
173.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
HOF By 1-7 points
12.2%
HOF By 8-14 points
23.0%
W&M By 1-7 points
3.3%
W&M By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Hofstra
95
HOFSTRA
William & Mary
78
WILLIAM & MARY
Simulated Score
Hofstra
72
HOFSTRA
William & Mary
68
WILLIAM & MARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pride
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Pride (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o159.5
Win
Proj Total: 173.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
W&M @ HOF
61 - 92
Jan 24, 2026
HOF @ W&M
82 - 89
Feb 13, 2025
HOF @ W&M
60 - 61
Jan 2, 2025
W&M @ HOF
74 - 56
Jan 25, 2024
W&M @ HOF
55 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.0%
Hofstra: 77.4%
vs
William & Mary: 71.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
Hofstra: 39.8%
vs
William & Mary: 34.3%
Steals (L5)
+108.0% more
William & Mary: 9.2
vs
Hofstra: 4.4
Assists (L5)
+57.0% more
William & Mary: 18.9
vs
Hofstra: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOF Score
95.0
82
W&M Score
78.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 39.8
41.0 / 41.0
Assists
18.9 / 12.1
23.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.9
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 41.8
42.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 77.4
85.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 35.3
41.0 / 42.0
Steals
9.2 / 4.4
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 8.7
5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
W&M
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
W&M
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
W&M
HOF
W&M
HOF
ML
55%
17-14
77%
27-8
61%
19-12
71%
25-10
ATS
63%
19-11-1
83%
29-6
61%
19-12
71%
25-10
TTL
61%
19-12
51%
18-17
100%
31-0
100%
35-0
Contextual Game News
