Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Spartans @ Cowboys SJSU @ WYO

SAN JOSÉ STATE

SPARTANSSJSU

6-13  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 4:00 PM ET
Arena-Auditorium
View Odds Details →

WYOMING

COWBOYSWYO

11-8  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
0%
📊
COWBOYS
100%
SPARTANS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
202.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (San José State)
SpartansSJSU (-3.5) 0 CowboysWYO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

96.4%

Cowboys Cover

3.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SJSU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJSU)

SJSU By 1-7 points

10.7%

SJSU By 8-14 points

21.6%

WYO By 1-7 points

2.7%

WYO By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
110
SAN JOSÉ STATE
92
WYOMING
Simulated Score
68
SAN JOSÉ STATE
75
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Spartans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Spartans (-13.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 202.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 WYO @ SJSU 88 - 78
Jan 24, 2026 SJSU @ WYO 62 - 66
Mar 12, 2025 WYO @ SJSU 61 - 66
Feb 22, 2025 SJSU @ WYO 82 - 73
Jan 25, 2025 WYO @ SJSU 58 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +13.6% more
San José State: 4.6 vs Wyoming: 4.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
San José State: 33.7% vs Wyoming: 29.8%
Assists (L5) +53.0% more
Wyoming: 11.1 vs San José State: 7.2
Blocks (L5) +36.4% more
Wyoming: 2.1 vs San José State: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SJSU Score 110.0 62
WYO Score 92.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.8 / 33.7 13.0 / 39.0
Assists 11.1 / 7.2 9.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.1 / 1.5 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 38.8 41.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 79.2 / 75.8 89.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 31.8 / 28.8 44.0 / 25.0
Steals 4.0 / 4.6 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 10.1 11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SJSU
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -6.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
WYO Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SJSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
WYO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SJSU
21-11-0
O: 65.6% / U: 34.4% Total +/-: +5.3
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
SJSU
WYO
SJSU
ML
52% 17-16
73% 24-9
70% 23-10
62% 20-12
ATS
64% 21-12
73% 24-9
70% 23-10
62% 20-12
TTL
64% 21-12
61% 20-13
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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