SAINT PETER'S
PEACOCKSSPU
11-6 | Road
59
MERRIMACK
WARRIORSMRMK
12-9 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
PEACOCKS
100%
WARRIORS
0%
PEACOCKS
--
WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
MERRIMACK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Merrimack)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MRMK -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MRMK)
SPU By 1-7 points
0.6%
SPU By 8-14 points
0.1%
MRMK By 1-7 points
4.0%
MRMK By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Peter's
58
SAINT PETER'S
Merrimack
82
MERRIMACK
Simulated Score
Saint Peter's
62
SAINT PETER'S
Merrimack
65
MERRIMACK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Warriors
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Warriors (-3)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Warriors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.0
Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u134.0
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
SPU @ MRMK
59 - 67
Jan 11, 2026
MRMK @ SPU
63 - 76
Jan 23, 2025
MRMK @ SPU
48 - 37
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+19.6% more
Saint Peter's: 13.2
vs
Merrimack: 10.6
Rebounding (L5)
+17.3% more
Saint Peter's: 37.9
vs
Merrimack: 31.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Saint Peter's: 33.6%
vs
Merrimack: 30.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SPU Score
58.0
59
MRMK Score
82.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 33.6
44.0 / 18.0
Assists
10.6 / 13.2
10.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.5 / 5.3
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 44.9
40.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 70.1
88.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 37.9
26.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.4 / 7.8
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 11.9
11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPU
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 2.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
MRMK
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 2.1
ATS +/-: +2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPU
Advantage
16-11-1
(59.3%)
Margin: 2.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
MRMK
19-14-1
(57.6%)
Margin: 2.1
ATS +/-: +2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
MRMK
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MRMK
SPU
MRMK
SPU
ML
47%
16-18
64%
18-10
65%
22-12
71%
20-8
ATS
53%
18-16
71%
20-8
65%
22-12
71%
20-8
TTL
62%
21-13
61%
17-11
100%
34-0
100%
28-0
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