Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Spiders @ Revolutionaries RICH @ GW

RICHMOND

SPIDERSRICH

13-7  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 3:00 PM ET
Charles E. Smith Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

12-7  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
SPIDERS
100%
📊
REVOLUTIONARIES
0%
SPIDERS --
REVOLUTIONARIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (George Washington)
SpidersRICH (-3.5) 0 RevolutionariesGW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spiders Cover

9.7%

Revolutionaries Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GW -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)

RICH By 1-7 points

6.8%

RICH By 8-14 points

1.7%

GW By 1-7 points

18.6%

GW By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
62
RICHMOND
75
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
72
RICHMOND
68
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Revolutionaries Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spiders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Revolutionaries (-10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Spiders (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 RICH @ GW 69 - 85
Dec 31, 2025 GW @ RICH 99 - 85
Jan 29, 2025 RICH @ GW 66 - 75
Dec 31, 2024 GW @ RICH 61 - 66
Feb 17, 2024 RICH @ GW 90 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +15.3% more
George Washington: 36.9 vs Richmond: 32.0
Assists (L5) +13.0% more
George Washington: 14.8 vs Richmond: 13.1
Turnovers (L5) +9.4% more
George Washington: 10.8 vs Richmond: 9.9
Blocks (L5) +9.3% more
George Washington: 3.5 vs Richmond: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RICH Score 62.0 69
GW Score 75.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 38.0 45.0 / 35.0
Assists 14.8 / 13.1 17.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.2 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 43.2 48.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 71.2 / 70.2 80.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 36.9 / 32.0 36.0 / 33.0
Steals 7.4 / 8.0 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 9.9 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
22%MONEY78%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
GW Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICH Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
GW
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +0.8
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GW
RICH
GW
RICH
ML
63% 22-13
53% 17-15
60% 21-14
56% 18-14
ATS
69% 24-11
44% 14-18
60% 21-14
56% 18-14
TTL
60% 21-14
56% 18-14
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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